Nate Anderson of Hindenburg Research is one of the best shortsellers I know.
I personally know Nate and have thought highly of him for since we first met and consider him a friend of mine.
But don’t take my word for it. Activist Insight has researched hundreds of firms and put together rankings of the top shortsellers. Nate Anderson’s Hindenburg Research came in their SECOND place for 2019.
According to another analytics firm Breakout Point:
Hindenburg Research “targeted shares are, on average, trading a whooping 56% lower“ And “the only entity appearing multiple times in our list of ten most successful short calls.“
When Nate talks markets listen.
Nate has never spoken at a conference but agreed to the ValueWalk hosted event this Monday morning at 8AM EST. He will be presenting a BRAND NEW short on a liquid name which he expects to tank 90 PERCENT. Once word leaks out his presentation is likely to result in significant downside in the stock.
But he is not alone. Gabriele Grego of Quintessential Capital who is a famed forensic analyst who will also be presenting a NEW short idea stating “On Monday at 8:00am we will take care of a dishonest management team that has been deceiving its investors . Don’t miss it! “
This is the closest you will ever get to legal insider trading.
We also have another two great speakers presentin: Matt Zabloski, Delbrook Capital and Maj Soueidan, GeoInvesting.
Activist Insight “THE ACTIVIST INVESTING ANNUAL REVIEW 2020: THE SEVENTH ANNUAL REVIEW OF TRENDS IN SHAREHOLDER ACTIVISM“
BreakOut Point April 4 2020 article titled “Activist Short Selling in Q1-2020”
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Jacob Wolinsky is the founder of ValueWalk.com, a popular value investing and hedge fund focused investment website. Jacob worked as an equity analyst first at a micro-cap focused private equity firm, followed by a stint at a smid cap focused research shop. Jacob lives with his wife and four kids in Passaic NJ. - Email: jacob(at)www.valuewalk.com - Twitter username: JacobWolinsky - Full Disclosure: I do not purchase any equities anymore to avoid even the appearance of a conflict of interest and because at times I may receive grey areas of insider information. I have a few existing holdings from years…
Jacob Wolinsky is the founder of ValueWalk.com, a popular value investing and hedge fund focused investment website. Jacob worked as an equity analyst first at a micro-cap focused private equity firm, followed by a stint at a smid cap focused research shop. Jacob lives with his wife and four kids in Passaic NJ. - Email: jacob(at)www.valuewalk.com - Twitter username: JacobWolinsky - Full Disclosure: I do not purchase any equities anymore to avoid even the appearance of a conflict of interest and because at times I may receive grey areas of insider information. I have a few existing holdings from years…
Nobel laureate Robert Shiller's research reveals that irrational exuberance drives stock prices above their true value Irrational exuberance is a thing. Robert Shiller was awarded a Nobel prize for his...
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ValueWalk will host its first virtual investment summit next month in partnership with the Contrarian Investor Podcast. The April 20th 4:00 PM – 6:00 EST summit will focus on contrarian ideas, and we have lined up an excellent slate of presenters with strong track records in their short campaigns. Hindenburg Research’s Nate Anderson, Quintessential Capital Management’s Gabriele Grego and Geoinvesting’s Maj Soueidan will present and take part in a Q&A sessions. Let’s take a look at the track records of their short campaigns.
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Hindenburg Research
Hindenburg Research has averaged a one-week campaign return of 8.18% and an average one-year return of 33.58%. The firm has already started two new campaigns this year, and it had six campaigns in 2019, following an impressive 11 campaigns in 2018.
The firm started targeting NexTech AR Solutions Corp. on Feb. 10, calling attention to the company's stock promotion activities. Anderson sees the company's stock going to $0. It has a market capitalization of $54 million, and so far, the return on this campaign has been 41.82%. The one-week campaign return has been 19.55%.
Hindenburg started targeting Opera on Jan. 16, alleging that the company's product is ineffective. The company has a market capitalization of $956.44 million, and Anderson sees downside of 64.53% in the stock. So far, the campaign has managed a return of 9.98% and a one-week return of 10.86%.
Anderson's firm has captured the attention of Activist Insight, as Hindenburg Research earned second place on the publication's list of the top five short sellers. Last year, the firm mostly targeted the healthcare sector, including SmileDirectClub and Predictive Technology Group.
Hindenburg alleged that SmileDirectClub threatened the safety of its customers and was merely "another ugly IPO" that has dodged public scrutiny. The firm saw 95% downside risk for Predictive and accused it of "dubious" sales tactics and acquisitions that "reek" of self-dealing among insiders. Predictive's stock plunged 74.7% to 73 cents between the beginning of the campaign and Dec. 31.
The firm's targets in 2019 also included Bloom Energy and Eros International.
Geoinvesting
Geoinvesting has averaged a one-week campaign return of 8.64% and an average one-year return of 24.67%.The firm has not started any new campaigns this year, although it did have three last year. The firm has slowed its activities a bit over the years, as it once had as many as 20 campaigns in 2014.
The firm started targeting Hebron Technology in December. Geoinvesting called out the company's stock promotion tactics. Hebron has a market cap of $60.94 million. This campaign has not paid off so far as the return is at -27.5%. The one-week campaign return was 3.2%.
Geoinvesting started targeting UP Fintech Holding Limited in October with allegations of illegal activities. The company has a market cap of $582 million. The return on this campaign was 13.3%, and the average one-week campaign return was 3.45%.
Quintessential Capital Management
Quintessential Capital Management has averaged a one-week campaign return of 30.11% and an average one-year return of 66.03%. The firm hasn't started any new campaigns yet this year, although it did have one last year and two in 2018.
The firm started targeting Bio-on S.p.A in July 2019, alleging that it is a serious fraud. The company has a market cap of $213.84 million, and Quintessential sees a downside of 100%. So far, the campaign has returned 81.16%, with the one-week campaign return at 61.75%.
The firm started targeting Aphria in December 2018, also alleging that it was a serious fraud. The company has a market cap of $906.72 million, and the campaign against it ended in January 2019. The campaign return was 12.65%, and the one-week return was 28.35%. Aphria ended up receiving an unsolicited bid, and the CEO resigned.
The event has been priced to allow for individual investors to attend at only $200 a bargain event to interact with top investment experts in Q&A sessions. However, up until March 31st a limited number of early bird tickets for only $150 are available.
At ValueWalk, we’re committed to providing accurate, research-backed information. Our editors go above and beyond to ensure our content is trustworthy and transparent.
Michelle Jones is editor-in-chief for ValueWalk.com and has been with the site since 2012. Previously, she was a television news producer for eight years. She produced the morning news programs for the NBC affiliates in Evansville, Indiana and Huntsville, Alabama and spent a short time at the CBS affiliate in Huntsville. She has experience as a writer and public relations expert for a wide variety of businesses. Email her at [email protected].
Michelle Jones is editor-in-chief for ValueWalk.com and has been with the site since 2012. Previously, she was a television news producer for eight years. She produced the morning news programs for the NBC affiliates in Evansville, Indiana and Huntsville, Alabama and spent a short time at the CBS affiliate in Huntsville. She has experience as a writer and public relations expert for a wide variety of businesses. Email her at [email protected].
Nobel laureate Robert Shiller's research reveals that irrational exuberance drives stock prices above their true value Irrational exuberance is a thing. Robert Shiller was awarded a Nobel prize for his...
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