Home Technology Decoding Black Swan: A Quantitative Approach to Tactical Stock Investing

Decoding Black Swan: A Quantitative Approach to Tactical Stock Investing

When you purchase through our sponsored links, we may earn a commission. By using this website you agree to our T&Cs.

Abstract: In this paper we examine unanticipated outliers of stock market. Weather these outliers are truly Black Swans that can not be anticipated or they are avoidable? Also we try to evolve a quantitative strategy to earn superior returns. The simple strategy not only removes outliers from portfolio but also increases average daily returns from 0.05% to 0.35%. To test the risk return proposition we have used Sharpe ratio. We are also able to conclude that the daily Sharpe ratio shoots up 15 times in the results. We found increase in volatility in a declining market as Standard Deviation increases in declining market. We also conclude that returns are generated only during up trend in the market.

IMS 0112 SEI ShiftingLandscapePt1 US(function() { var scribd = document.createElement(“script”); scribd.type = “text/javascript”; scribd.async = true; scribd.src = “http://www.scribd.com/javascripts/embed_code/inject.js”; var s = document.getElementsByTagName(“script”)[0]; s.parentNode.insertBefore(scribd, s); })();

H/T Ewallstreeter

Our Editorial Standards

At ValueWalk, we’re committed to providing accurate, research-backed information. Our editors go above and beyond to ensure our content is trustworthy and transparent.

Want Financial Guidance Sent Straight to You?

  • Pop your email in the box, and you'll receive bi-weekly emails from ValueWalk.
  • We never send spam — only the latest financial news and guides to help you take charge of your financial future.